Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.044058 14.944619 16.973102 19.293370 21.867895 24.630885 27.814178
2025-10-12 10.494222 13.078424 16.023094 19.604208 23.817625 28.592984 34.388664
2025-10-19 8.838303 11.755671 15.250213 19.698656 25.160868 31.597102 39.698063
2025-10-26 7.379210 10.403776 14.190345 19.205418 25.591621 33.366022 43.449952
2025-11-02 6.301794 9.369501 13.366207 18.849015 26.056276 35.080039 47.087629
2025-11-09 5.421211 8.475749 12.606650 18.460366 26.380887 36.550991 50.395054
2025-11-16 4.710927 7.727113 11.952607 18.124065 26.699507 37.966022 53.619708
2025-11-23 4.050774 6.970611 11.206541 17.578573 26.662808 38.862040 56.143112
2025-11-30 3.666549 6.582744 10.944943 17.676726 27.486904 40.907880 60.231822
2025-12-07 3.322767 6.217882 10.678950 17.733831 28.231135 42.844975 64.208739
2025-12-14 3.050353 5.937216 10.511660 17.912676 29.138680 45.018753 68.556868
2025-12-21 2.774976 5.620655 10.258160 17.933073 29.796841 46.843166 72.451482
2025-12-28 2.608547 5.479274 10.278102 18.383049 31.124181 49.685392 77.900272
2026-01-04 2.427149 5.291618 10.205298 18.675661 32.216782 52.215048 82.970016
2026-01-11 2.228509 5.049642 10.019263 18.766304 32.989008 54.284118 87.415868
2026-01-18 1.959497 4.642148 9.513609 18.292354 32.840965 54.959693 89.818357
2026-01-25 1.740875 4.307008 9.105619 17.949945 32.873777 55.891391 92.605321
2026-02-01 1.542137 3.987560 8.697828 17.576609 32.828161 56.685814 95.189320
2026-02-08 1.371509 3.705629 8.334637 17.253605 32.840730 57.556393 97.894934
2026-02-15 1.196050 3.389381 7.877783 16.729773 32.483723 57.821358 99.661403
2026-02-22 1.106039 3.255879 7.765788 16.824020 33.174380 59.761312 104.060584
2026-03-01 1.019915 3.120445 7.638220 16.878854 33.793366 61.596387 108.331911
2026-03-08 0.952222 3.021151 7.575914 17.050596 34.618239 63.781956 113.200410